Prospects for Pakistan - Report
January 2010, Pakistan
Legatum Institute
This Report analyses the prospects for Pakistan over a one to three year time horizon and looks at economic, political, security, and bilateral issues. There are three possible scenarios for Pakistan over this relatively short time horizon; Pakistan probably will avoid becoming a “failed state” and is unlikely to find a “pathway to success” but, as Pakistan confronts a myriad of vexing challenges, the most likely scenario is that it will “muddle through”.
The Pakistani state has shown itself to be both the source and recipient of instability, but it has also been remarkably resilient. The country today faces five main challenges:
1. Threat of fragmentation and the loss of state control over various territories that undermine the integrity, sovereignty and solidarity of the country;
2. Security and terrorism throughout the country;
3. Economy;
4. Governance issues including corruption and
5. Rebuilding the Pakistan Brand.
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